Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.052658 2.360419 2.702476 3.111513 3.588240 4.127375 4.784810
2025-04-27 1.562780 1.964799 2.456475 3.105031 3.942475 4.993329 6.421262
2025-05-04 1.341470 1.791191 2.378108 3.206328 4.354841 5.905652 8.182630
2025-05-11 1.160711 1.625919 2.265414 3.218366 4.618954 6.627703 9.773337
2025-05-18 1.024317 1.494666 2.170599 3.226302 4.858294 7.325877 11.416549
2025-05-25 0.891708 1.347613 2.028360 3.135824 4.925066 7.759070 12.700696
2025-06-01 0.815771 1.273947 1.983093 3.182005 5.201848 8.546309 14.668755
2025-06-08 0.757920 1.220102 1.959711 3.255889 5.527262 9.449383 16.969825
2025-06-15 0.696019 1.151673 1.903239 3.264276 5.736964 10.175181 19.059388
2025-06-22 0.628870 1.066590 1.808529 3.192627 5.791156 10.623272 20.686747
2025-06-29 0.574795 0.997932 1.733948 3.146390 5.882799 11.147493 22.540171
2025-07-06 0.523924 0.929539 1.652237 3.076219 5.917442 11.561784 24.227316
2025-07-13 0.500807 0.914015 1.673756 3.223589 6.438584 13.103048 28.800689
2025-07-20 0.458818 0.859818 1.619166 3.219685 6.664449 14.100606 32.450314
2025-07-27 0.434538 0.836073 1.619176 3.324907 7.135351 15.706705 37.889324
2025-08-03 0.403224 0.794530 1.578331 3.337432 7.403235 16.902136 42.594154
2025-08-10 0.375042 0.755911 1.538448 3.345685 7.661687 18.120900 47.650227
2025-08-17 0.340965 0.701163 1.458142 3.251590 7.662191 18.708903 51.133817
2025-08-24 0.322271 0.676980 1.440551 3.299616 8.017658 20.261467 57.747218
2025-08-31 0.307437 0.659482 1.435475 3.376457 8.458810 22.124208 65.773184
2025-09-07 0.289007 0.631933 1.404409 3.385180 8.723737 23.558611 72.856704
2025-09-14 0.266776 0.593397 1.343590 3.310663 8.752368 24.332161 78.008929
2025-09-21 0.248306 0.561710 1.295496 3.262577 8.847216 25.319932 84.167215